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Seismology
Quake uplifted Japan

A large 17th-century earthquake comparable in size to the Dec. 26 Sumatra quake was responsible for pushing up land in Japan, according to new research based on the sediment record of a large tsunami.

In the decades after the massive quakes that occurred in Chile in 1960 and Alaska in 1964, eyewitnesses, tide gages and changes in the ecology of nearby estuaries all showed that the events resulted in major uplift in the regions. However, a study in the Dec. 10 Science is the first time scientists have presented geologic evidence of “such [decadal] post-seismic deformation in the prehistoric period,” says paleoseismologist Yuki Sawai of Japan’s National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology and lead author of the paper.

Researchers collect a core sample at a marsh in Mochirippu, on eastern Hokkaido, Japan, during high tide. The core sample detailed the sequence of events that followed a large earthquake, which hit offshore Japan in the mid-17th century and may help explain the country’s present-day landscape. Photo courtesy of Yuki Sawai.


Soil cores from two estuaries on eastern Hokkaido detailed a sequence of events following a massive earthquake offshore in the mid-17th century. Within the cores, fossil diatoms show a change from tidal mud flats to freshwater forest peat above a sand layer that researchers believe was deposited by a tsunami triggered by the unusually large temblor.

The 10-centimeter-thick layer of sand was found within tidal mud layers. The layer’s location indicates that the tsunami occurred while the region was still underwater and, therefore, that the uplift occurred not during the quake, but in the decades after it.

“It is the sequence of sediments that is key,” says Elizabeth Hearn, a seismologist at the University of British Columbia, Vancouver, who studies earthquake-related deformation along plate boundaries. “The fact that tsunami sands give way to shallow water sediments, and then peat [indicates that] the land must have been emerging from below sea level to produce such a sequence.”

Explaining the origin of the uplift also solves a longstanding paradox in Japanese geology: The island of Hokkaido is both sinking and rising. Hokkaido, Japan’s northernmost island, sits 60 to 80 kilometers above the Kuril subduction zone, where the Pacific plate is subducting beneath Asia at a rate of 8 to 9 centimeters per century. However, while the Pacific plate is dragging Hokkaido down, the geology of the region shows that the land was being uplifted during the past 125,000 years.

Large subduction zone earthquakes are known to cause warping of the crust, with the most dramatic deformation occurring during a quake. But in the past 200 years of Hokkaido’s recorded history, very few incidents of uplift were noted despite the occurrence of several earthquakes greater than magnitude 8, including ones in 1952, 1973 and 2003.

Other slow deformation can also occur, however, for days, weeks, months, years or even decades after a quake. In the past 3,000 years of geologic history, there were several incidents of uplift that were tantalizingly close to unusually large or “outsized” quakes, evidenced by tsunami sand layers. But until now, strong geologic evidence of deformation following a megaquake was lacking.

Sawai and colleagues estimate that a rupture at least twice as long as the 1973 or 2003 quake would be required to set off an earthquake large enough to cause the observed uplift. “The mega-rupture the authors are suggesting may be quite comparable to the recent magnitude-9 Sumatra earthquake,” says Roland Burgmann, a seismologist at the University of California, Berkeley. “Here also, previous historic earthquakes in the region did not suggest a prior occurrence of such a large earthquake rupture.”

The researchers suspect that on Hokkaido, the large, shallow quake ruptured the plate boundary offshore, allowing uplift of the Pacific coast to occur — either by slow creep below the boundary break or by gradual elastic rebound of the crust in response to stress relaxation in the mantle. “In a sense,” Hearn says, “the mantle gradually loosens its grip on the base of the elastic plate, allowing it to deform slowly over decades after the quake.”

Burgmann says that the new study will help seismologists better understand how earthquake hazards unfold over time, “and thus significantly improve earthquake forecasts, which provide statistical probabilities of earthquakes over several years or decades.” It will also help, he says, hone models of stress release at plate boundaries and better explain how a subducting plate behaves at depth.

Sawai next plans to tackle the question of how often such unusually large earthquakes, and any subsequent uplift, recur.

Sara Pratt
Geotimes contributing writer

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